๐Ÿšจ โฐ KANE VERSUS HAALAND – EXPECTED MINUTES ANALYSIS GW1 – GW6 โฐ๐Ÿšจ

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๐Ÿšจ โฐ KANE VERSUS HAALAND – EXPECTED MINUTES ANALYSIS GW1 – GW6 โฐ๐Ÿšจ   ๐Ÿง  It makes sense to run ๐Ÿƒโ€โ™‚๏ธ some projections in your own mind ๐Ÿคฏ as to how the minutes will likely pan out for both Erling Haaland ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ด and Harry Kane ๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ. ๐Ÿง  Tbf, itโ€™s a good idea to do this exercise with all of your players and particularly if youโ€™re deciding between 2๏ธโƒฃ key ๐Ÿ”‘ assets ๐Ÿ’กLighbulb moment – your FPL players CANNOT score FPL points if theyโ€™re not on the pitchโ€ผ๏ธ Sounds bloody obvious yeah but so many FPL managers donโ€™t pay it enough attention. ๐ŸŽฒ If, like me, you place a lot of importance on playing the percentages % in FPL, itโ€™s a good exercise to note ๐Ÿ“ down how many minutes you expect certain players to play in each GW. ๐Ÿง  You can then factor that in to your overall calculations which should also be including stuff like: pre-season form, fixture ease, tactics of their team, price point, historical FPL returns etc etc ๐Ÿง  Factored into the calculations is an appreciation of all Pepโ€™s pre-season comments (Haalandโ€™s too) about protecting his body and integrating him into the squad etc (see my separate article if you missed those press conference ๐ŸŽ™ quotes). Also factored in is Richarlisonโ€™s ๐Ÿ€ arrival at Spurs and the likelihood of Kane getting occasional (very) late substitutions as a result. Historically that has hardly ever happened at all and I expect Kulu ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ช, Son ๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ท and Richarlison ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ท to impact on each otherโ€™s minutes more than any of them do on Kaneโ€™s.   ๐Ÿงฎ Here are my educated guesses as to how many minutes Kane ๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ and Haaland ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ด will get in the first 6GWs of the season. โฐ GW1 ๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ Kane v Southampton (H) = 90 mins ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ด Haaland v West Ham (a) = 30 mins โฐ GW2 ๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ Kane v Chelsea (a) = 90 mins ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ด Haaland v Bournemouth (H) = 70 mins โฐ GW3 ๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ Kane v Wolves (H) = 85 mins ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ด Haaland v Newcastle (a) = 75 mins โฐ GW4 ๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ Kane v Forest (a) = 90 mins ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ด Haaland v Palace (H) = 30 mins โฐ GW5 ๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ Kane v West Ham (a) = 90 mins ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ด Haaland v Forest (H) = 75 mins โฐ GW6 ๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ Kane v Fulham (H) = 80 mins ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ด Haaland v Villa (a) = 75 mins ๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ Kane total = 525 mins ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ดHaaland total = 355 mins   ๐Ÿง  To eliminate any chance of confirmation bias (i.e. low-balling the stats to justify a pre-conceived conclusion) and / or to factor in that these are just guestinates (albeit based on sound research and analysis) letโ€™s then assume Iโ€™ve overstated Kaneโ€™s minutes by 10% and underplayed Haalandโ€™s by 10%. Once youโ€™ve run that sensitivity test it comes out that: ๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ Kaneโ€™s total mins = 473 mins ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ดHaaland total = 391 mins ๐Ÿง  Therefore Iโ€™ve concluded that in all likelihood Kane will play 82 more minutes than Haaland in the period GW1-GW6. Thatโ€™s almost an entire extra gameโ€ผ๏ธ ๐Ÿ‘Š๐Ÿฝ It goes without saying that you can of course disagree with analysis on the player minutes โฐ. If you do intuitively disagree Iโ€™d definitely recommend that you go through the same kind of โ€˜bottom upโ€™ calculation and see what numbers you come out with yourself ๐Ÿคทโ€โ™‚๏ธ. Maybe even put those calculations in the comments below. If youโ€™re being honest with yourself Haalandโ€™s minutes will be well down on Kaneโ€™s ๐Ÿ˜‰โ€ฆyou may of course still think heโ€™s the better pick with fixtures, team quality, ownership %, number of goals their teams will score, finishing ability etc in mind. Assists also need considering. If after all of that youโ€™re happy with the Haaland XM (expected minutes trade off) then fair enough and youโ€™ve made an educated choice as clearly heโ€™s a good FPL option too ๐Ÿ‘ ๐Ÿ™ I hope this is useful and interesting ๐Ÿ‘Š๐Ÿฝ <Admin #Chindle13 >
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